Saturday, March 2, 2024
HomeUncategorizedAUD/USD loses momentum after hitting five-month highs above 0.6800

AUD/USD loses momentum after hitting five-month highs above 0.6800

  • US consumer inflation declined more than expected in November.
  • US Dollar Index slides to its lowest level since July 27.
  • The AUD/USD holds firm, maintaining important weekly gains.

During the American session, the AUD/USD pair rose to 0.6824, reaching its highest intraday level since July, driven by broad-based Dollar weakness. It is holding onto its weekly gains, remaining near 0.6800.

Mixed US data: inflation approaches Fed’s target

The latest important US economic report for 2023 showed that the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Core PCE) rose 0.1% in November, below the market consensus of 0.2%. The headline PCE declined for the first time since 2020. Another report indicated a 5.5% increase in Durable Goods Orders in November, and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose in December to 69.7 from 69.4.

The market reaction to the US data was limited. The numbers continue to indicate a robust economy and inflation approaching the Federal Reserve’s target. Following the data, easing expectations rose, while US Treasury yields remained relatively steady.

The US Dollar index (DXY) dropped to 101.42, the lowest level since July, boosting the AUD/USD to approach 0.6825. The Australian Dollar is holding above 0.6800, set for its second consecutive weekly gain, reaffirming the bullish outlook. However, risks remain as the US economic performance could lead to the Fed cutting interest rates after other central banks, including the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

Technical outlook 

The AUD/USD remains within an ascending channel on the daily chart; however, it is nearing the upper limit, which could potentially limit the rally and prompt a period of consolidation. Conversely, a breakout above the upper limit at 0.6830 could trigger acceleration, targeting 0.6850.

In the event of a downward correction, initial support may be found around the 0.6770 area, followed by 0.6725. If it falls below 0.6600, the outlook would shift from bullish to neutral/bearish.

AUD/USD daily chart 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Read More

RELATED ARTICLES

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

Most Popular

Recent Comments